New Poll Shows Runaway Leader in NYC Mayor Race

Zohran Mamdani holds a strong lead in the New York City mayoral race, according to a new Siena poll. He’s at 44%, while Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent, trails at 25%. Republican Curtis Sliwa sits at 12%, and Mayor Eric Adams at just 7%.

City Democrats back Mamdani over Cuomo 53-32%. Republicans overwhelmingly support Sliwa. Independents are split, with 30% for Mamdani and 20% for Adams. Younger voters under 35 lean heavily toward Mamdani, while those 55 and older favor Cuomo.

This is Mamdani’s first appearance in the Siena poll, with a 46-32% favorability in the city. Statewide, though, his rating is underwater at 28-37%. Cuomo’s numbers are worse. In the city, he’s at 37-54% unfavorable, and statewide, he’s at a record-low 29-61%.

Among Democrats statewide, Cuomo’s favorability has dropped sharply from 51-39% in March to 36-56% now. Adams isn’t faring well either, with 30-58% unfavorable in the city and 22-51% statewide. Sliwa’s ratings are mixed, at 26-30% statewide and 30-42% in the city.

Adams, running as an independent, has pitched himself as a pro-law enforcement alternative after the recent Park Avenue office shooting. He was indicted last year on bribery, conspiracy, and campaign finance charges, though the case was dropped.

Mamdani, who upset Cuomo in the primary, is pushing far-left policies and is on an anti-Trump tour. "There is no borough that will be free from Trump's cruelty," he said. "We will shine a light this week and every week on the costs of this vision coming out of Washington, D.C."

Cuomo, Adams, and Sliwa have attacked Mamdani over policing and rent control. Cuomo even pitched “Zohran’s Law” after learning Mamdani lives in a rent-stabilized apartment. "Rent-stabilized apartments when they're vacant should only be rented to people who need affordable housing, not people like Zohran Mamdani," Cuomo said.

Mamdani shot back: "Andrew Cuomo has spent more time talking about my apartment than asking why so many New Yorkers are being forced out of theirs." The election is set for Nov. 4, one of the few major off-year races.